England Premier League
Sunday 12th January 2020
Kick off at 4.30pm GMT
Venue: Villa Park
Aston Villa would have wished for an easier fixture given their precarious 17th position in the Premier League. Dean Smith’s side are just are just 1 point above the relegation zone after losing 3 of their last 5 games.
But one can also wonder if Villa are starting to see some light at the end of the tunnel? Whilst the club remain inconsistent they have won 2 of their last three matches beating Norwich and Burnley, and it is not as if Villa are in a situation where they are recording heavy losses and going weeks without a win. That summarises the team this season, they are just doing enough to keep their heads above water. The problem they have is the emergence of Watford who look like a team determined not to be relegated.
Villa have won 40% of their games at home but have also recently lost 3 of their last five at Villa Park which doesn’t bode too well for this game.
Manchester City’s league title chances look long gone but manager Pep Guardiola will still want to finish 2nd but the current champions can’t seem to displace Leicester, could this be the weekend where they can change that? Also if Tottenham who play a day earlier are able to beat Liverpool it would give City even more motivation to do well in this match.
City have looked strong and played some brilliant football lately, winning 4 of their last five games. They also beat Manchester United 3-1 in the first leg of their Carabao Cup tie, and played some wonderful attacking football especially in the first half when they raced into a 3-0 lead.
The away side will really need to be on the ball because there is that small doubt when they play away of dropping points, just like they have done against the likes of Norwich and Wolves this season. Still away form is generally good winning 60% of their games but they have recently only picked up 7 points from their last 15, for City that is beyond poor.
Aston Villa: Keinan Davis is ruled out after a set back in his hamstring injury. Tom Heaton will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. Jonathan Kodija remains 50/50 after illness. Matt Targett is being pencilled in to be back for this game after recovering from his hamstring injury. Wesley will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury.
Manchester City: No new injuries for the club coming into this game.
Aston Villa vs Man City Head to Head:
The last time the teams met here was in 2015 when the match finished 0-0.
Earlier this season in the reverse fixture Manchester City won 3-0.
Manchester City have scored 7 goals in their last two meetings with Aston Villa and conceded 0.
There is a 50% chance to see over 3.5 goals scored.
Aston Villa vs Man City Prediction:
On top of the quality that City possess Aston Villa have quite a few long term injuries piling up and that is going to affect a side when they play City who are full strength. Villa won’t lie down for the champions but we do expect City to overpower them. City are massive odds on which is never great value especially when a team are away from home and Villa can be backed at odds of up to 19.00 to win. The likes of Leicester and Southampton have come here in recent weeks and scored 7 goals between them and that doesn’t bode well for Villa. We won’t back City to win the game given the odds, so we will look into different markets to find the best value.
Raheem Sterling has scored in the last couple of league games when playing Aston Villa and we will back him again to do so at the weekend.
Aston Villa vs Man City Betting Tips:
Half time/full time (Man City/Man City) at 1.61
Anytime goalscorer: Raheem Sterling at 1.72