Saturday's Premium Double #286

18th Feb 2017

Premium Double #286

Saturday's Fixtures.

Double
Burnley vs Lincoln City - Asian handicap (-1 Burnley)
Marseille vs Rennes - Asian handicap (0.0 Marseille)

At time of posting, odds of 1.82

These selections can be found in the English FA Cup and the France Ligue 1.

Our first selection (Asian handicap -1 Burnley) was a difficult decision being the FA Cup which can be more unpredictable, however Burnley are very strong at home and they are playing a team 4 divisions below. Burnley's last game was a 1-1 draw against leaders Chelsea, which really does demonstrate their strength at Turf Moor. At home they have 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses this season, scoring 22 goals and conceding only 12, and the last time they lost at Turf Moor was against Man City in November. Their opponents today (Lincoln City) play in the Vanarama National League and look a good prospect for promotion. They have already beaten the likes of Ipswich and Brighton in the Cup, however both times at home, whereas away from home they have actually lost 2 of their last 3 league games. With Burnley having home advantage in this tie, and now being aware of the upset potential of Lincoln, they should have enough to make sure they get the job done today and secure a home win.

Our second selection (Asian handicap 0.0 Marseille) would have been picked as a home win had it not been for the injury of top scorer Bafetimbi Gomis. Marseille are another team who are very much reliant on their home form, where they have 8 wins, 3 draws, and just the 1 loss this season, which was to leaders Monaco. They have been incredibly strong defensively at Stade Vélodrome, conceding only 6 goals in 12 home league games, which is an average of just 0.5 goals per game, and therefore makes them very difficult to beat. If we look at their opponents today (Rennes), they have struggled for goals away from home, scoring just 7 all season, which has lead to a poor away record of 1 win, 5 draws, and 6 losses. Marseille should have enough to beat a Rennes team that is lacking form and fire power, but without Bafetimbi Gomis leading the line, it's best to cover the draw just incase Rennes prove to be stubborn resistance.

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