Double Suggestion:
Monday's Fixtures.
DoubleHannover v Kaiserslautern -
Draw no bet (Hannover)Jong Ajax v Almere City -
Over/under (Over 2.5 goals)N.B. Double Suggestions are posted when the fixture choice is poor and the confidence levels aren't high enough for an official "Tipster's Double".
At time of posting, odds of 1.82
These selections can be found in the Germany and Netherlands Leagues.
Our first selection (Draw no bet - Hannover) was the obvious choice for an outcome based pick today, especially as the odds were good enough to be able to cover the draw. Hannover are pushing for an automatic promotion spot up to the Bundesliga 1, and a win today would put them level on points at the top of the league with Braunschweig and VfB Stuttgart. Hannover have been very strong at the HDI-Arena this season, winning 6 of their 8 games, and keeping clean sheets in 50% of their home games, and when they visited today's opponents Kaiserslautern earlier this season, they came away with an impressive 4-0 win. Kaiserslautern are becoming experts in drawing matches recently, with 4 of their last 5 league matches all being draws, 3 of which were 0-0, so clearly they like to try and keep games tight. This is most likely because they are struggling to score goals away from home, with only 4 goals in 8 away games, meaning they need to be good defensively to have a chance of away points. With Hannover's strong home defence, and Kaiserslautern's poor away attack, this really should be a comfortable win for the home side, with the draw covered for added safety.
Our second selection (Over/under - Over 2.5 goals) in the Jong Ajax (Ajax Reserves) v Almere City game has goals written all over it. When playing at the Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Jon Ajax's games contain 4.4 goals on average, and away from home Almere City's games average 4.2 goals, so the chances of this game having 3 goals should be fairly high. At home Jong Ajax have scored more than any other team in the league, with 31 goals in 10 home games, which is an average of 3.1 goals per game, and that alone would be enough to win this selection. So if you then take into account the fact that Almere City have scored 19 goals when playing away from home, which is an average of nearly 2 goals scored per away game, the chances of both teams scoring is also high. On top of that, Almere City aren't particularly tight at the back, conceding over 2 goals per game away from home, and they conceded 4 against Jong Ajax earlier in the season when they had home advantage. So without home advantage this time, Almere will certainly be susceptible to conceding against the best home attack in the league, and therefore "over 2.5 goals" should be a very likely outcome.
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