Sunday's "Tipster's Double" #279

Tipster's Double #279

Sunday's Fixtures.

Double
Ath Bilbao v Sporting Gijon - Asian handicap (-1 Ath Bilbao)
Fiorentina v Genoa - Asian handicap (0.0 Fiorentina)

At time of posting, odds of 1.85

These selections can be found in the Spain Primera Liga and the Italy Serie A.

Our first selection (Asian handicap -1 Ath Bilbao) is a likely win on paper. Ath Bilbao are very strong when playing at their home ground Estadio San Mamés, where they have a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and just the 1 loss to Barcelona at the start of the season, scoring 17 goals and conceding 10. If we compare that to Sporting Gijon's away record, they have managed just 3 points via 3 draws, from 10 away games. So they are yet to win a single game away from home, and it's because they are struggling for goals, scoring only 6 in 10 games. In terms of form Bilbao are proving difficult to beat, losing just 1 of their last 6 league games, whereas Gijon have lost 4 of their last 6 league games, so the momentum is definitely with the home side. Bilbao will be expecting 3 points today, expect them to be the aggressors, launching numerous attacks as they push for the win, and barring any upsets it should be a comfortable home win.

Our second selection (Asian handicap 0.0 Fiorentina) really should be nailed on in terms of safety. Fiorentina are unbeaten at home in the league this season, with 5 wins and 5 draws from 10 home games, scoring 13 goals and conceding 8, so they are not the biggest goal scorers but they are very strong defensively. On top of that, their recent form has been impressive, with a home draw against Napoli, a home win against leaders and Champions Juventus, and then an easy away win against Chievo. Their opponents today (Genoa) are a good home team, but they do struggle on their travels, losing 7 of their 10 away league games this season, scoring only 7 goals yet conceding 18 in the process. On top of that, Genoa's form has been very poor, scoring just 1 point in their last 5 games, and that was a struggling home 2-2 draw against 3rd from bottom Crotone. On paper this should be a home win, and with the draw covered, it should be a very safe selection.

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