Tipster's Double #165
Tuesday's Fixtures.
Double:
Ayr v Stenhousemuir - Asian handicap (-0.5, -1 Ayr)
Dunfermline v Albion Rovers - Asian handicap (-1 Dunfermline)
At time of posting, odds of 2.01
These matches can be found in the Scotland League One.
Our first selection (Ayr) had a great start to the season, however around December time things went off the rails a bit as they struggled with injuries. Players are coming back from injury now and their form has started to pick up again, so they should be strong favourites for a win against Stenhousemuir tonight. Generally speaking, Ayr are among a top 3 teams who have a clear advantage in quality over the rest of the league, with 12 points separating 3rd and 4th, and they have only dropped points once at home to a team outside of the top 2. Their opponents tonight (Stenhousemuir) have an unimpressive away record (4 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses), and they have conceded nearly twice as many goals as they have scored away from home. Ayr have already beaten Stenhousemuir twice in the league this season (5-2 at home, 1-0 away from home), and they should be strong enough at home today to make it 3 wins.
Our second selection (Dunfermline) are currently top of the Scottish League One and look almost certain to claim the automatic promotion spot. They have scored a massive 71 goals from 27 games, and conceded only 19 in the process, which gives them the most dangerous attack and the meanest defence in the league by a long way. They are in a great run of form at the moment, winning their last 5 straight games, and have already beaten tonight's opponents (Albion Rovers) 3-0 at home earlier in the season. Like our first selections opponents, Albion Rovers also have an unimpressive away record of (4 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses), however their away goals ratio is even worse, with only 8 goals scored and 18 conceded. Albion Rovers will try to frustrate their opponents tonight, but if/when that first goal goes in, it's highly likely more will follow and it should be a convincing win for Dunfermline.
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