England Premier League
Saturday 9th December 2023
Kick off at 3pm GMT
Venue: Amex Stadium
Match Preview:
Brighton have been in good form coming into this game and in midweek won their 7th game of the season with a 2-1 win over Brentford. The Seagulls have climbed to 8th place with 25 points and are within touching distance of a possible European place. Roberto De Zerbi’s side have remained strong at home and hard to beat and that is underlined by the fact that they have lost just one game so far. However they are being anchored by draws and have only won 50% of their home games because of it. Three of their last four home matches have ended this way.
Burnley are in 19th place and are three points from safety and while time is on their side for now one could imagine that by this time next month they could be in serious problems and Vincent Kompany’s job could be on the line, one only has to look and see how bottom placed Sheffield United had to act. The Clarets have lost four of their last five games and their one win last weekend which was a good 5-0 win over Sheffield United and has been forgotten about now given their midweek loss at Wolves. This looks like being another tough away game although if results go their way they would pass Luton into 18th place. Burnley have only managed one win on the road so far which was against a bottom three side in Luton and have lost their last four away games.
Team News:
Brighton: Adam Webster could be assessed and return with a knock that has seen him miss several games. There are no new injuries but the remaining are still sidelined; Danny Welbeck, Soloman March, Tariq Lamptey, Pervis Estupinan, Julio Enciso and Ansu Fati.
Burnley: Lyle Foster may return after illness but will be assessed. Luca Koleosho has been ruled out for the season with a knee injury. Josh Cullen is out with a knock and is Jack Cork with his calf injury.
Brighton vs Burnley Head to Head:
The clubs have played each other 39 times and have 12 wins each and have drawn 15 times.
The teams last played this fixture at the beginning of 2022 and Burnley ran out 3-0 winners.
It’s been 7 meetings going back 10 years since Brighton were able to beat Burnley when at home.
There is a 60% chance to see under 2.5 goals.
Brighton vs Burnley Prediction:
You do get bogey teams and certainly Burnley have been one to Brighton when games have been played here but we're not convinced that’s going to continue. It’s almost been two years since the clubs last played each other and the home side have come on leaps and bounds since then. It’s really difficult to back Burnley to win games at home let alone on the road and to a side currently in the top 8. For us this is a home win and we may see a few goals too.
Burnley are under real pressure and December is a big month for the club who could end up remaining in the bottom three. They won’t lose games without a fight and they only narrowly lost 1-0 to Wolves away from home in midweek and that tells us that Burnley are going to fight for everything but they are coming up against a quality side at the weekend and it would feel like a real surprise if Brighton were to drop points.
Brighton vs Burnley Betting Tips:
Brighton to beat Burnley at 1.50
Anytime goalscorer: Evan Ferguson at 2.10
Anytime goalscorer: Kaoru Mitoma at 2.75
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