Analysing the Premier League Golden Boot Contenders of 2019/20

Share this:

The race for the Premier League Golden Boot heated up this year following Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubumeyang's double score against Norwich at the beginning of July, pushing him to the forefront of the race alongside Jamie Vardy. A brief look at the activities of last season quickly provides valuable insights into the probable candidates for the Golden Boot title next season.

Here's analysing the chain of events that lead up to this year's winner, starting with the contenders. For useful advice on which betting sites to use when backing a player for the Premier League Golden Boot, follow GambleGuy's betting article.

The Final Contenders for Premier League Golden Boot 2020

1. Jamie Vardy, Leicester – It's only fair that we begin this list with the winner since the results are out! Leicester's hero of the 2016 season had a stunning year, netting 23 goals in 35 matches. The season started on a high with Vardy scoring 13 goals in 10 matches during Autumn 2019. But the pace declined from mid December to the beginning of July 2020 with just 3 goals during that period, however they all counted towards that final winning tally of 23.
2. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Arsenal – Closely missing out on the title with 22 goals this season is the experienced Gunner. Aubameyang was a potent candidate to clinch this year's Golden Boot following his two scores against Norwich. Despite his best efforts though, he finished the season tied at second place, alongside Southampton's Danny Ings, with 22 goals.
3. Danny Ings, Southampton – Also scoring 22 goals this season, the 28-year old's move from Liverpool to St Mary's has brought a new leash of luck! Adding a cutting edge to Southampton's offense, Ings has had a consistent season in 2020, terrorising opposition defences. It was a much-needed respite considering his stint with constant injuries in the past, forcing him to the bench at Liverpool.
4. Raheem Sterling, Manchester City – Since leaving Liverpool in 2015 to join Manchester City for £44m his goal scoring form has much improved, and since Pep Guardiola took charge in 2016 his goal scoring form has absolutely blossomed. Finishing the season as the 4^th highest goal scorer with 20 goals was very impressive for a winger/forward, especially when he managed to beat Salah, Mane, and Harry Kane in the process.

How to Predict Next Year's Premier League Golden Boot Winner?

Historically speaking, only three players over the age of 30 have ever clinched the Premier League Golden Boot. Players from outside the Big Six can also be discounted considering how the big guys have been dominating the tournament for the last twenty years, and it's no surprise considering the top 6 teams are often far more attack minded against the smaller teams. In fact, all 22 Golden Boot winners of this Century play for either Manchester United, Manchester City, Arsenal, Chelsea, Tottenham, or Liverpool.

Further narrowing down the list, out of the previous ten Golden Boot winners nine had an astounding season, scoring at least 20 goals that year. While 3 of the last 10 winners managed to score a massive 30 goals or more in their Golden Boot winning season. The trick is to look for a reliable goal scorer with a proven on-field track record and preferably someone in peak form in the current season!